The vast majority of climate scientists and educated
observers, perhaps 97-98%, agree that CO2 in the atmosphere warms
the globe. The science is clear and well understood. Bonds in the carbon
dioxide molecules absorb radiated hear and warm up. This warms the atmosphere
and hence the Earth’s surface. The amount of warming directly attributable to
this absorption of infrared radiation is 1C for a doubling of CO2
levels from 290 ppm. This is generally agreed by both climate scientists who
are support Kyoto and by sceptical climate scientists.
It is well accepted that 1°C warming is good. Plants grow
better in the warmer conditions. Increased CO2 in the atmosphere
also improves plant growth. Some farmers artificially increase CO2
concentrations in their greenhouses. The Sahel region on the edge of the Sahara
is becoming greener as a result of increased CO2 in the atmosphere.
So if 1°C of warming is good and doubling CO2
will warm the Earth by 1°C, why do so many tell us we have to cut our carbon
emissions? It depends on how you see your glass – is it half full or half
empty. Look at this glass, it contains 50% of its maximum capacity. It is both
half full and half empty. How you choose to see it is your choice.
For some the glass is half full. Some people see carbon
emissions as a good thing. Carbon that has been trapped under the ground for
millions of years is being released. Plant photosynthetic processes evolved
when CO2 levels were perhaps 10 times higher than they are today. As
we release this carbon to the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels we are
benefitting both from increased plant productivity at absorbing the sun’s energy
and the economic benefit that comes from using the energy that we get by
burning carbon. Burning fossil fuels is a win-win situation.
But many people choose to see the glass as half empty. They
see this increased CO2 concentration and the associated warming as a
problem. They tell us that the small amount of warming caused by CO2
absorption of radiated heat will be amplified by other effects. These effects
may cause catastrophic runaway global warming of more than 2 degrees, maybe 3,
4 or 5°C. But the mechanisms that are supposed to cause this warming are
speculative. The models are not supported by fact. Global temperatures have not
risen for 17 years despite increasing CO2 in the atmosphere. It is
clear that runaway warming is not occurring. They now call it climate change
and blame it for every adverse weather event. They ignore the facts that the
climate has always changed and there were adverse weather events before we
started to emit CO2.
To counter this warming threat they are telling us that we
have to cut our fossil fuel usage. We have to use expensive and unreliable
alternative energy. We have to cover our hills and seashores with windmills. We
have to clear cut old forests and jungles to burn the wood and grow oil palms. We
have to burn food and drink as biofuel. We have to pay carbon taxes on coal,
oil and natural gas to heat our houses in winter. We have to make sacrifices.
We have to make sacrifices to limit the amount of plant fertiliser we put into
the air.
So how do you see the world? Is your glass half full or half
empty? Should we enjoy the benefit of reliable carbon based fuel which
increases the amount of plant fertiliser in the atmosphere and helps prevent a
return of an ice age? Or should we sacrifice our economy to prevent a non-problem
from occurring? Me? … My glass is half
full … or rather it was. Cheers and enjoy life. Burn carbon without guilt.
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